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Saturday storm risk for Sydney and Queensland as humid weekend begins

2026-11-14

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Sydney faces a likely thunderstorm on Saturday, November 14, with the possibility of damaging winds, large hail and heavy rain that could cause flash flooding. The Bureau of Meteorology's latest Sydney forecast available just after midnight, issued at 9.54 pm on Friday, places the greatest shower risk in the afternoon and evening. This is a forecast for the day ahead, not confirmation that a severe storm is already occurring.

The updated city forecast gives Sydney a maximum of 29C, a 90 per cent chance of rain and a possible 1 to 10 mm. Conditions vary across the metropolitan area: Penrith and Richmond are forecast to reach 34C, while Liverpool and Parramatta are forecast to reach 32C. These are forecast temperatures, not measured readings, and local storm rainfall can differ from the broader daily estimate.

The Bureau's national weekend outlook, issued on Friday afternoon, also points to another round of showers and thunderstorms across south-eastern Queensland and the southern interior on Saturday. Some afternoon and evening storms may be severe, bringing large hail, damaging winds and heavy rainfall. The outlook particularly identifies areas west and south of Brisbane, with flash flooding a concern, and storms extending towards north-western Queensland.

Elsewhere, showers and thunderstorms are forecast across much of northern Australia and inland Western Australia. Victoria is expected to see early showers ease in many places, although eastern and north-eastern districts may have further afternoon or evening storms. Sydney's later Friday forecast points to a cooler Sunday, with a maximum of 22C and a very high chance of showers.

People planning outdoor activities should check the latest local forecast, radar and official warnings before travelling. A broad daily storm forecast is not the same as a location-specific warning; the timing and areas at risk can change as storms develop. The Sydney forecast lists its next routine update for early Saturday morning.

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